Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.211123 1.370049 1.543800 1.748152 1.982289 2.242602 2.554544
2025-12-14 0.948879 1.153113 1.394356 1.701462 2.083622 2.545589 3.149468
2025-12-21 0.768931 0.989559 1.266901 1.643488 2.145117 2.795341 3.710163
2025-12-28 0.686072 0.927559 1.247905 1.708101 2.359043 3.256975 4.606947
2026-01-04 0.617219 0.870604 1.222718 1.754002 2.546219 3.701013 5.543507
2026-01-11 0.560277 0.820319 1.196818 1.790276 2.718108 4.139782 6.534645
2026-01-18 0.510075 0.772067 1.165574 1.810756 2.863725 4.552424 7.543136
2026-01-25 0.457226 0.712666 1.108998 1.781997 2.923448 4.830903 8.366324
2026-02-01 0.402588 0.643871 1.029100 1.703873 2.888229 4.941657 8.907203
2026-02-08 0.361972 0.593133 0.972309 1.656357 2.896911 5.125199 9.602655
2026-02-15 0.328985 0.551505 0.925911 1.620456 2.919825 5.333967 10.373631
2026-02-22 0.315281 0.541201 0.931539 1.677105 3.118312 5.893437 11.927045
2026-03-01 0.295411 0.519210 0.916264 1.697235 3.257566 6.373085 13.434105
2026-03-08 0.271120 0.486964 0.879364 1.672415 3.306280 6.681161 14.634943
2026-03-15 0.246493 0.451683 0.833230 1.624046 3.300675 6.875844 15.618463
2026-03-22 0.238474 0.446867 0.844280 1.691669 3.547337 7.649807 18.114030
2026-03-29 0.228684 0.437574 0.845483 1.738794 3.755879 8.371131 20.628774
2026-04-05 0.218584 0.426618 0.842099 1.775477 3.945833 9.078965 23.256949
2026-04-12 0.207763 0.413119 0.832038 1.796099 4.101216 9.728174 25.866521
2026-04-19 0.193456 0.391071 0.801856 1.767731 4.135562 10.082230 27.728312
2026-04-26 0.176308 0.361525 0.752863 1.690343 4.039123 10.086514 28.577296
2026-05-03 0.163199 0.339532 0.718335 1.643261 4.012878 10.272148 30.013344
2026-05-10 0.152122 0.321037 0.689891 1.607679 4.011661 10.525782 31.718550